Global Life Expectancy Increased, But Not For Sub-Saharan Africa
Thursday, 18 December, 2014
An analysis from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2013 has found that global life expectancy increased by 5.8 years in men and 6.6 years in women between 1990 and 2013.
However, some causes of death ran against these trends and have seen increased rates of death since 1990, including: liver cancer caused by hepatitis C (up by 125%), atrial fibrillation and flutter (serious disorders of heart rhythm; up by 100%), drug use disorders (up by 63%), chronic kidney disease (up by 37%), sickle cell disorders (up by 29%), diabetes (up by 9%), and pancreatic cancer (up by 7%).
In high-income regions, falling death rates from most cancers (down by 15%) and cardiovascular diseases (down by 22%) have increased life expectancy, while rapidly declining death rates for diarrhoea, lower respiratory tract infections, and neonatal disorders have helped extend life expectancy in low-income countries.
While life expectancies are increasing throughout the world, there is one notable exception: southern sub-Saharan Africa, where deaths from HIV/AIDS have erased over 5 years of life expectancy.
The study's lead author and professor of Global Health at the University of Washington in the US said the progress against illnesses and injuries is great, but more must be done to continue improving.
“The huge increase in collective action and funding given to the major infectious diseases such as diarrhoea, measles, tuberculosis, HIV/AIDS, and malaria has had a real impact. However, this study shows that some major chronic diseases have been largely neglected but are rising in importance, particularly drug disorders, liver cirrhosis, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease," he said.
The findings come from GBD 2013, the most comprehensive and up-to-date estimates of the number of yearly deaths due to 240 different causes in 188 countries over 23 years (1990 to 2013). The amount of data in GBD 2013 have been significantly expanded from GBD 2010 to include both more data from certain countries (China, Russia, Turkey), and additional data on conditions such as cancers and HIV/AIDS.
Some of the study's key findings include
- Despite dramatic drops in child deaths over the last 23 years (from 7.6 million in 1990 to 3.7 million in 2013, in children aged 1–59 months), lower respiratory tract infections, malaria, and diarrhoeal disease are still in the top 5 global causes of death in children younger than 5 years and continue to kill almost 2 million children between the ages of 1 and 59 months every year
- Another mixed success is that while worldwide deaths from HIV/AIDS have declined substantially every year since its peak in 2005, HIV/AIDS is still the greatest cause of premature death in 20 of 48 countries in sub-Saharan Africa
- The top ten leading causes of premature death worldwide have hardly changed since 1990. Nine causes remained in the top ten in 2013, with HIV/AIDS moving in and tuberculosis moving to 11th. Worldwide, since 1990, years of life lost due to HIV/AIDS have increased by 344%, drug disorders by 119%, chronic kidney disease by 90%, and Alzheimer’s disease by 89%.
- The UK has seen lower life expectancy increases than the global average of 6.2 years. Between 1990 and 2013, life expectancy at birth increased from 72.9 years to 79.1 years for men and from 78.4 years to 82.8 years for women
- War is the leading cause of premature death in Syria. The conflict in Syria has killed an enormous number of people. In 2013, there were an estimated 29947 deaths (between 19392 and 54903) and about 10504 deaths and 21422 deaths in each of the preceding two years.
- In eastern Europe, half of all premature deaths in 2013 were due to five causes: ischaemic heart disease, stroke, self harm, cirrhosis, and road injury.
- In India, life expectancy at birth increased from 57.3 years to 64.2 years for men between 1990 and 2013 and 58.2 years to 68.5 years for women during the same time period. India has made remarkable progress in reducing child and adult deaths with death rates dropping 1.3% per year for adults and 3.7% for children. Suicide is a major and growing public health problem in India with half of the word’s suicide deaths occurring in India and China alone.
- Road injury and Interpersonal violence are key contributors to premature deaths in Latin America and the Caribbean, ranking in the top five leading causes for 17 and 15 out of 29 countries in the region, respectively. Outside this region, interpersonal violence only ranks in the top five causes in just one other country in the world: South Africa.
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